Weekly Update: Good Morning! The ground continues to rise. US Treasury yields propelled upwards last week, and the stock market’s response was to stumble a bit. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost over 1,300 points in two days. This appeared to be the pullback that many people have been predicting. On Thursday, we received the economic data that showed a cooling in inflation in the form of a lower than
The ground is rising.
Weekly Update: Good Morning! Chicken Little is famous from her quote “The sky is falling.” Today, I would like to start a famous quote “The ground is rising.” The US Treasury yields propelled upwards last week as the economy continues to be very strong. The US Jobless rate declined to a 48-year low. The unemployment rate is at 3.70%. Wow, low. The 10-year US Treasury increased to 3.23%, and the
FOMC Raises Rates.
Weekly Update: Good Morning! The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised the Federal Funds rate 0.25% to 2.25%. The FOMC telegraphed that they are looking at one more rate increase this year and potentially up to three more in 2019. This will result in a 3.00% to 3.25% Fed Funds rate by the end of 2019. The FOMC believes that the economy is doing well. When I watch televised news,
Weekly Update: Good Morning! As I ponder the industry and the forces in our incredible world of banking, I notice a few topics worth pointing out. One – The stock market is roaring. The Dow is now over 26,700. The S&P is over 2,900, and the NAS is nearly 7,000. Wow, the markets look good. 401(k) looks good. The financial world is happy. The result of this is that people
Profitability over growth.
Weekly Update: Good Morning! The stock market is continuing its incredible performance. The economy is looking good. Business news on CNBC is positive. Unemployment is low, and consumer confidence is high. When I turn on Fox News or MSNBC, I feel there is a parallel universe. It is easy to get sucked into this world of negativity. I do, however, expect your institutions to continue to face the following: •
Weekly Update: Good Morning! Over the last month, the goal of my daily message is to highlight profitability. I have touched on: • Deposits – Lack of growth in the industry and the increasing cost of funds. • Loans – The irrational fear of raising loan rates. • Investment duration and yield – Having the proper duration for your institution. • Loan to Deposit ratio – Higher is not always
Change is hard at first.
Weekly Update: Good Morning! It is with great excitement and apprehension that I report I cut the cable cord. Yes, with a 4-year-old who loves to watch Princess Knight (children’s TV show) I cut the lifeblood of my daughter’s entertainment (at least I thought). I did, however, maintain internet service. An important point, as we still have access to the world. Change is hard at first, at least for me.
Weekly Update: Good morning! We are in the last few days of what we call Asset Liability Management (ALM) season. What is ALM season? It is the busy time of a quarter when we are presenting ALM reports to our clients. We finalize our reports and meet with our clients to dispense timely advise. It is a busy and extremely fun time at McQueen Financial. This ALM season is a
Weekly Update: Good morning! It is exciting to talk about the new loan and lease loss reserve process that is called Current Expected Credit Loss (CECL) which is why everyone keeps asking for more information! *A disclaimer: People who sell products to people are product salespeople. Positions which will probably be replaced by Amazon or Wall Mart. All of us at McQueen Financial feel that we are partners with our
Weekly Update: Good Morning! I am looking out over the peacefully quiet horizon contemplating what to write about the economy in my Monday morning MFA musings. I feel that the economy is going well. Overheating? I think the answer is not yet. But, there are a few signals that are popping up on the horizon that are making me think more carefully on this topic. The concerns that have caught